The Bear Cave

Share this post

The Bear Cave #151

thebearcave.substack.com

The Bear Cave #151

New Activist Reports, Recent Resignations, and Tweets of the Week

Edwin Dorsey
Jan 8
26
Share this post

The Bear Cave #151

thebearcave.substack.com

Welcome to The Bear Cave! Our last premium articles were “Problems at Six Flags Entertainment (SIX)” published on December 15 and “More Problems at Rumble (RUM)” published on January 5. The next premium investigation comes out Thursday, January 19.

New Activist Reports

Citron Research tweeted critically on Luminar Technologies (NASDAQ: LAZR — $1.43 billion), a vision-based lidar company for self-driving cars. Citron criticized the leadership’s use of jargon and lack of tangible results.

Twitter avatar for @CitronResearch
Citron Research @CitronResearch
$LAZR stock looks like it is heading under $1. CEO Austin Russel uses every bit of jargon and double speak at CES to avoid the fact that his company will not see any meaningful revenue in near future. Does this quote give your confidence?
3:02 PM ∙ Jan 6, 2023
98Likes18Retweets

Citron Research also tweeted out an article reporting that Luminar’s 26-year-old CEO bought an $83 million house. Luminar is down ~60% since its December 2020 SPAC merger.

Fiat Lux Partners published a rebuttal to Spruce Point Capital on Saputo Inc (Toronto: SAP — CAD$14.3 billion), a Canadian dairy and cheese roll-up. Fiat Lux wrote, “Spruce Point’s report contains numerous critical errors which mischaracterize the financial state of the company.” Specifically, Fiat Lux said the company’s “new potential fraud warning” highlighted by Spruce Point is a standard disclosure under new U.K. auditing standards. Fiat Lux also said Spruce Point’s arguments of an underfunded pension liability were based on “unreasonably aggressive inflation assumptions” outside of standard economic forecasts.

Fiat Lux Partners is a new group that describes themselves as “short activists calling out weak short activism.” They are @FiatLuxPartners on Twitter.

Recent Resignations

Notable executive departures disclosed in the past week include:

  1. CEO of Petrobras (NYSE: PBR — $63.6 billion) received an “early termination” after just six months. The company has had eight different CEOs in the last five years.

  2. CFO of Thorne HealthTech (NASDAQ: THRN — $193 million) resigned “effective immediately” after nine months. The company is down ~65% since its September 2021 IPO.

  3. CEO of Stitch Fix (NASDAQ: SFIX — $403 million) “agreed that she would step down from her employment with the Company and from the Board of Directors” after one and a half years. The company’s general counsel departed in November and three board members also resigned in 2022.

  4. CEO of Fulcrum Therapeutics (NASDAQ: FULC — $485 million) departed after almost two years “to pursue other opportunities.” In October, the company’s President of Research and Development also departed after one and a half years and in July the company’s Chief Medical Officer resigned after a little over one year.

  5. CFO of R1 RCM (NASDAQ: RCM — $5.18 billion) “stepped down” after two and a half years. The company’s CEO resigned on January 1 and the company’s Chief Solutions Officer departed in June.

  6. CFO of Presto Automation (NASDAQ: PRST — $113 million) resigned after three and a half years “to accept an offer from another company.” Presto Automation is down ~75% since its September 2022 SPAC merger.

  7. CEO of PagSeguro (NYSE: PAGS — $2.95 billion) “stepped down” after five years. Another board member also resigned “effective immediately” this week. In October 2021, Viceroy Research published on the Brazilian payment processing company and alleged it had ties to PAX Global Technology Limited, which was raided by the FBI. Viceroy wrote,

    “We expect PagSeguro to be subject to significant regulatory action and scrutiny, with the clear possibility of legal action against the company by various counterparties.”

  8. CFO of Hope Bancorp (NASDAQ: HOPE — $1.57 billion) resigned after five years “in order to pursue other opportunities.” The company is audited by Crowe LLP.

  9. JoEllen Lyons Dillon was removed from the board of World Wrestling Entertainment (NYSE: WWE — $6.27 billion) after just four months by controlling shareholder Vince McMahon as he plans a comeback following a misconduct probe. A total of five WWE board members departed on Friday.

  10. Chief Operating Officer of Digital Realty Trust (NYSE: DLR — $29.2 billion) was terminated after five years. The company’s CEO was “terminated without cause effective immediately” in December.

Data for this section is provided by VerityData from VerityPlatform.com

What to Read

“SEC Charges Former SPAC CFO for Orchestrating $5 Million Fraud Scheme” (SEC)

“The SEC’s complaint alleges that, from June 2021 through July 2022, Morgenthau embezzled money from African Gold and stole funds from another SPAC series called Strategic Metals Acquisition Corp. I and II to pay for his personal expenses and to trade in crypto assets and other securities.”

“Attorney General James and CFPB Sue Auto Lender for Cheating Thousands of New Yorkers” (NY AG)

“An investigation by the Office of the Attorney General (OAG) found that CAC’s lending practices were deceptive and left tens of thousands of New Yorkers with massive debt. The OAG’s investigation also found that CAC routinely pushed borrowers into purchasing vehicles that were worth far less than their loans. This predatory practice led many borrowers to lose their vehicles through repossession, while still owing thousands of dollars on the loans.”

“FTC Proposes Rule to Ban Noncompete Clauses, Which Hurt Workers and Harm Competition” (FTC)

“The Federal Trade Commission proposed a new rule that would ban employers from imposing noncompetes on their workers, a widespread and often exploitative practice that suppresses wages, hampers innovation, and blocks entrepreneurs from starting new businesses. By stopping this practice, the agency estimates that the new proposed rule could increase wages by nearly $300 billion per year and expand career opportunities for about 30 million Americans.”

“Joint Statement on Crypto-Asset Risks to Banking Organizations” (Federal Reserve, FDIC, and OCC)

“Further, the agencies have significant safety and soundness concerns with business models that are concentrated in crypto-asset-related activities or have concentrated exposures to the crypto-asset sector.”

Back in November, The Bear Cave wrote about the crypto ecosystem’s ties to some U.S. banks and warned of inadequate regulatory oversight. Read The Bear Cave’s past investigation here.  

Tweets of the Week

Twitter avatar for @RagingVentures
Raging Capital Ventures @RagingVentures
@joecarlsonshow Short $ALLY, massively levered book of auto loans heavily funded by rate sensitive online deposits. Value of auto residuals falling sharply.
3:52 AM ∙ Jan 7, 2023
Twitter avatar for @quantian1
Quantian @quantian1
If you sat down and designed, from first principles, the perfect black box to separate 120 IQ value investors from their money, you could not do as good a job as $BUR.
Twitter avatar for @Quartr_App
Quartr @Quartr_App
3. $BUR with a beautiful ROIC slide: https://t.co/A2BawdCqRo
5:22 AM ∙ Jan 2, 2023
161Likes9Retweets
Twitter avatar for @quantian1
Quantian @quantian1
@16k_aum It's a pile of high-return assets that are guaranteed to be uncorrelated to the market. Yes, it's impossible to objectively value them or dispose of them, and you have to take management's word for it... but it's misunderstood by the market and trades at a significant discount😉
5:49 AM ∙ Jan 2, 2023
Twitter avatar for @kiwicarrotcake
kiwicarrotcake @kiwicarrotcake
$TPL was a sub $900 stock with rates close to 0% and $70 oil Now y'all still paying $2100 for $74 oil and 4% rates. Won't end well.
1:14 PM ∙ Jan 4, 2023
Twitter avatar for @LeviathanCapit1
Leviathan Capital @LeviathanCapit1
Every single bear on $FND focusing a bunch of headwinds that might just end up being tailwinds in this recession, meanwhile I’m focusing on the fact that the stock trades at ~4.9X EBITDA of current store count at maturity & ~6.8X it’s unlevered maintenance FCF.
5:03 AM ∙ Jan 7, 2023
Twitter avatar for @WallStCynic
Diogenes @WallStCynic
Lol, $RUN has over $7B in net debt, but negative EBITDA. And potentially massive contingent liabilities with the IRS. Other than that… @SullyCNBC https://t.co/IO1zAFuabT
Twitter avatar for @CNBCWEX
Worldwide Exchange @CNBCWEX
Sunrun is down 30% in the past year due to massive debts and supply chain shocks, but the future could be brighter for 2023. @SullyCNBC sits down with @Sunrun CEO @MaryGPowell to discuss. $RUN https://t.co/4GMmqidjMQ
12:31 PM ∙ Jan 6, 2023
86Likes18Retweets
Twitter avatar for @AlderLaneEggs
Marc Cohodes @AlderLaneEggs
What a complete Shit Show *Silvergate's Crypto-Related Deposits Fell by 68% to $3.8 Billion in Fourth Quarter -- WSJ *Silvergate Took $718 Million Loss Selling Debt Securities to Raise Cash *Silvergate Lays Off 40% of Staff, Pares Back Businesses $SI @gmorgenson @AureliusValue
11:34 AM ∙ Jan 5, 2023
157Likes30Retweets
Twitter avatar for @AlderLaneEggs
Marc Cohodes @AlderLaneEggs
Funny how $SI book value goes form $35 to $14 overnight.. Very Novastar like.. @AureliusValue @gmorgenson
12:31 PM ∙ Jan 5, 2023
63Likes7Retweets
Twitter avatar for @AlderLaneEggs
Marc Cohodes @AlderLaneEggs
$HELE is a disaster flat up... GFLTA
Twitter avatar for @jbecompslns
J Bret Edwards @jbecompslns
Hope everyone is PAYING ATTENTION. h/t by McGough on “The Call” this morning by McGough along with this h/t as well: @AlderLaneEggs has ‘em dead to rights. https://t.co/ynkGUlNTXu
1:17 PM ∙ Jan 5, 2023
17Likes1Retweet
Twitter avatar for @AltaFoxCapital
Connor Haley @AltaFoxCapital
Fun thread if people are interested. What stocks are long-term and structural under-performers vs the market?
8:35 PM ∙ Jan 1, 2023
181Likes7Retweets
Twitter avatar for @AltaFoxCapital
Connor Haley @AltaFoxCapital
An example: I think $HSII and $KFY are just bad businesses to be an equity holder. In good times, the partners in the biz take too much of the economics and in bad times, these businesses are very cyclical. As a result, $HSII is flat in over 20 years and $KFY also underperformed.
8:35 PM ∙ Jan 1, 2023
39Likes3Retweets
Twitter avatar for @unusual_whales
unusual_whales @unusual_whales
Call your ex-girlfriend.
Image
9:00 PM ∙ Jan 6, 2023
7,045Likes497Retweets

Until next week,

The Bear Cave

New? Sign Up Here
Got Feedback? Just Hit Reply
The Bear Cave is Not Investment Advice. Twitter: @StockJabber
Share this post

The Bear Cave #151

thebearcave.substack.com
TopNewCommunity

No posts

Ready for more?

© 2023 Edwin Dorsey
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start WritingGet the app
Substack is the home for great writing