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The Bear Cave #161

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The Bear Cave #161

New Activist Report, Recent Resignations, and Tweets of the Week

Edwin Dorsey
Mar 19
30
Share this post

The Bear Cave #161

thebearcave.substack.com

Welcome to The Bear Cave! Our last premium articles were “Problems at Symbotic (SYM)” and “More Problems at Coinbase (COIN)” and our next premium investigation comes out Thursday, April 6.

New Activist Report

NINGI Research published on Arbor Realty Trust (NYSE: ABR — $2.01 billion), a mortgage REIT focused on bridge financing. NINGI Research said Arbor “owns a toxic and worthless portfolio of mobile homes called Lexford/Empirian” and alleged the company is understating credit loss allowances. Specifically, NINGI Research highlighted that the company’s credit loss allowance for its multifamily loan portfolio has grown only $1.7 million since 2020 despite a ~$9 billion increase in its multifamily loan portfolio. NINGI Research also highlighted accounting anomalies and alleged the company hides debt off its balance sheet. NINGI Research concluded,

“Most of Arbor’s peers trade at a discount to book value. Arbor trades at 1.2x of common book value per share. We think, ABR's stock is significantly overvalued and median downside is 55%.”

Recent Resignations

Notable executive departures disclosed in the past week include:

  1. CEO of Amedisys (NASDAQ: AMED — $2.36 billion) “will cease serving” the company after just five months. The company’s prior CEO was “terminated without cause” after just seven months in November 2022 and the company’s Chief Legal Officer resigned in September 2022.

  2. CEO of Calavo Growers (NASDAQ: CVGW — $404 million) was “terminated without cause” after just one year. The company has had five different CEOs and seven different CFOs in the last five years.

  3. CFO of CRISPR Therapeutics (NASDAQ: CRSP — $3.60 billion) resigned after one and a half years “to pursue external opportunities.” In October 2022, the company’s Chief Operating Officer also departed “to pursue external opportunities.”

  4. CFO of EQRx Inc (NASDAQ: EQRX — $958 million) “stepped down” after two years. The company is down ~80% since its December 2021 SPAC merger.

  5. CFO of Clearwater Paper (NYSE: CLW — $544 million) departed after three years. The company’s predecessor CFO had departed after just one year.

  6. CEO of FinVolution Group (NYSE: FINV — $1.07 billion) resigned “due to personal reasons” after four years. The Chinese fintech platform has had five board resignations since its November 2017 IPO, all “due to personal reasons.”

  7. Chief Product Officer of DigitalOcean Holdings (NYSE: DOCN — $3.30 billion) “is resigning to pursue other opportunities” after one and a half years. In January, the company’s CFO “entered into a transition agreement” after three years.

  8. Chief Human Resources Officer of Disney (NYSE: DIS — $170 billion) was “terminated without cause” after almost two years.

Data for this section is provided by VerityData from VerityPlatform.com

What to Read

“Signature Bank Executive Used to Audit Firm” (WSJ)

“Keisha Hutchinson signed off on KPMG’s clean audit of Signature Bank in March 2021, public records show. That June, she was appointed chief risk officer for the New York lender….”

“SIVB: Held-to-Mortem Governance” (NonGAAP)

“This non-disclosure immediately makes me wonder what caused former Chief Risk Officer Laura Izurieta to leave the role and create such a glaring hole in risk oversight during such a critical time…”

“Barney Frank defends role at Signature Bank: ‘I need to make money’” (FT)

“But the Democrat said he had no regrets about joining Signature’s board. ‘I worked as a member of Congress for a certain objective. And then having retired, not having a pension by my choice, not wanting to be a lobbyist for reasons personal, I need to make some money.’”

Tweets of the Week

Twitter avatar for @NotChaseColeman
Not Tiger Global @NotChaseColeman
We've been very short subprime auto via $CACC. This is the first crack we're seeing in ABS deals gone bad. It's going to get worse. $CACC is more vulnerable b/c as a non-bank lender, they're nearly 100% reliant on ABS financing. Same shit happened to $AFRM and $CVNA in '22.
Image
8:04 PM ∙ Mar 15, 2023
170Likes36Retweets
Twitter avatar for @anothercohen
Alex Cohen @anothercohen
Not only has Lemonade denied the couple of claims I submitted last year but they are now increasing my pet insurance from $50/mo to $77/mo for *each* dog. Worst pet insurance company I've ever used. Will be canceling and finding a new provider
2:44 AM ∙ Mar 16, 2023
472Likes9Retweets
Twitter avatar for @InvestSpecial
Dalius - Special Situation Investments @InvestSpecial
5/ $RHI short pitch: – Global specialty staffing firm that trades above peers and operates within the cyclical industry. – Consensus earnings are too optimistic given the FED’s expectation of higher unemployment. – Pandemic-driven surge from the public sector is already runoff.
9:06 AM ∙ Mar 14, 2023
Twitter avatar for @InvestSpecial
Dalius - Special Situation Investments @InvestSpecial
8/ $MPW short pitch: – Medical Properties Trust is a highly-levered US healthcare REIT that owns nearly 440 hospital facilities. – Company operates a low-quality business (with shady management) that burns cash after dividends and does not earn its cost of capital.
Image
9:06 AM ∙ Mar 14, 2023
Twitter avatar for @InvestSpecial
Dalius - Special Situation Investments @InvestSpecial
1/ New investment ideas from VIC 👇 Incl: $GO short, $7309.T short & $RMBL short. $GO short pitch: – Value grocery retailer at a premium valuation of 15x 2022 EBITDA and 30x EPS. – Incorrectly perceived as an attractive franchisor-type business with a long growth runway. ...👇
Image
9:55 AM ∙ Mar 17, 2023
23Likes1Retweet
Twitter avatar for @rsandler21969
Ricky Sandler @rsandler21969
$RBA has displayed a huge disregard for shareholder interest and corporate governance. Most non conflicted shareholders have opposed the $IAA deal as did ISS and GL. Now the company’s founder too. @ann_fandozzi cannot be trusted. She made a great business uninvestible
1:13 AM ∙ Mar 14, 2023
32Likes1Retweet
Twitter avatar for @rsandler21969
Ricky Sandler @rsandler21969
$RBA shareholders will get what they deserve by approving this deal. An unownable CEO and a good business now levered and saddled with another business that’s a troubling #2 player trying a turnaround. The corporate governance system and the board failed here.
8:15 PM ∙ Mar 14, 2023
27Likes1Retweet
Twitter avatar for @LuisVSanchez777
Luis V. Sanchez @LuisVSanchez777
"I personally have spent $50,000 in 3 months in Clash of Clans" - CEO of $MTCH Bernard Kim
Image
8:55 PM ∙ Mar 15, 2023
980Likes90Retweets
Twitter avatar for @BorrowCost
Cost Of Borrow @BorrowCost
More buying at pacw. The CFO is writing puts...
Image
12:38 AM ∙ Mar 14, 2023
19Likes2Retweets
Twitter avatar for @IcebergResear
Iceberg Research @IcebergResear
$BBAI lost $122m on sales of $155m in 2022. Backlog fell for the third straight quarter from $324m to $221m. With cash outflows of ~$49m, and liquidity of $37m, its cash will last ~9 months.
2:07 PM ∙ Mar 14, 2023
7Likes1Retweet
Twitter avatar for @AlderLaneEggs
Marc Cohodes @AlderLaneEggs
When I say weekends are bad for Frauds, maybe some of you will stop Trolling and maybe listen.. $SBNY $SI
10:54 AM ∙ Mar 13, 2023
233Likes15Retweets
Twitter avatar for @GRDecter
Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA @GRDecter
Is it surprising that Signature Bank failed? Their executive team spent millions of dollars to produce music videos & TV shows about themselves Try not to cringe as you watch this:
4:51 PM ∙ Mar 13, 2023
8,991Likes3,168Retweets
Twitter avatar for @StockJabber
Edwin Dorsey @StockJabber
Today is a great reminder to read and support The Bear Cave newsletter As early as November 2022, The Bear Cave raised serious concerns about Silvergate and Signature Bank Now, just five months later both banks have been closed
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Image
11:15 PM ∙ Mar 12, 2023
366Likes34Retweets

Until next week,

The Bear Cave

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